Show HN Survival Rate Analysis (June 2023)

2023-06-11

Original blog post | Hacker News discussion

Spoiler alert: many of the good projects didn't survive

The HN Database

I maintain an up to date database of all public HN items (links, comments, users, etc.).

Data Source

  • Public dataset. The Google Cloud BigQuery public datasets include one for Hacker News data. However, this dataset has not been updated since November 2020.
  • Official api. I use this to update my database constantly.

Numbers

For this analyze, I considered submissions made before May 31, 2023, 23:59 UTC. The dataset consists of 4,714,023 stories and 30,363,533 comments from 867,097 users.

Show HN Stories

Overview

There are 120,396 valid Show HN stories. The first one was submitted on March 10, 2009, and the last one was submitted on May 31, 2023, at 23:38 UTC.

Submissions Yearly Trend

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